Friday, November 2, 2012

Football Friday: Avast Ye Matey!

Last Week: W (Giants -2)
Season: 5-3-1

The great philosophers Ma$e & Puff ripped-off the phrase, "Bad, bad, bad, bad boys you make me feel so good." and this week it rings true. TLS heads west (TV's all up in the head rests) for the Pirate Bowl! Tampa Bucs at the Oakland Raiders.
Many NFL fans perceive these teams playing poorly because of the record within their respective conferences, but I like this young Bucs squad under [first year coach] Greg Schiano. [RB] Doug Martin is a future stud and [QB] Josh Freeman is looking more & more comfortable each passing week in his new offense.  He's finally hitting [Big Free Agent Signing/WR] Vincent Jackson for some big downfield plays and the occasional touchdown. Freeman has also rekindled some his magic late in games with [WR] Mike Williams. 
Martin dominated the Vikings D last week

The Raiders are coming off a win against the Chiefs, which means virtually nothing. They're giving up a point and a half (-1.5) because they're at home, half of the obligatory three-point home-field advantage. Smells funky in Oakland, and it's not the black hole. 

The Bucs have let a few leads slip in the second half of games earlier in the season, but I think they're starting to come together in all three phases of the game. Their defense will contain [RB] Darren McFadden and while Carson Palmer might hit [WR] Denarius Moore for a few big plays, it won't be enough over four quarters to top the Bucs. Plus, look at the records against the spread [ATS]:

Bucs and the points [+1.5] because Raiders end up settling for a lot of Sebastian Janokowski field-goals.

No comments:

Post a Comment