Friday, October 26, 2012

Football Friday: New World Order

Last Week: W (Texans -6.5)
Season: 4-3-1

As the weeks progress, odds makers become sharper. Typically, after week 6 or 7, the wise guys show their true colors and start impacting lines as early as a Wednesday. There hasn't been much movement this week. The Patriots versus Rams in London is interesting (Pats -7) because there is no true "home-field advantage", but the travel/time could affect the teams and the Patriots' defense doesn't look like it can hold a 7-point lead. 

The only other QB I'd put my money behind this week (and it sickens me) is Eli Manning. The Giants are 2-point favorites, on the road, in Dallas. Looking at the stats against the spread [ATS], things look pretty pedestrian.

But Dallas, at home, with similar stats, isn't getting the obligatory three points? 

This line is BEGGING people to put their money on Romo & Co! Well I'm not taking the bait. No Demarco Murray in the backfield and no Sean Lee or DeMarcus Ware for Dallas?! 

Giants -2

Monday, October 22, 2012

Woo! 4-3-1 Baby.

Way to back me up, Texans: 43-13 on a 6.5-point line? I'm back on the good foot! 

Friday, October 19, 2012

Football Friday: Separation Sunday

Last Week: 2-0
Season: 3-3-1

That great Ric Flair once said, "Woo! I'm Back..."

That's how I feel after last Sunday and Monday nights. Sure I played two games, but desperate times called for desperate measures. Rodgers and Manning got me feeling like a phoenix, rising from those early-season ashes. Let's keep it rolling. 

The weirdest line of the week is the Saints (-2.5) giving points, on the road, to their division-rival [Bucs]. I love the Bucs in that game, but wouldn't put my money near it because of the scandalous line. The Saints defense is atrocious, but the Bucs secondary is equally bad (31st in the league). 

Trust me as a Patriots fan: watching a shitty secondary squander your offense's (i.e. stellar quarterbacking) effort sucks. Never mind putting your money behind it. 

Using what I've learned the past seven weeks, I had to find a good quarterback and defense with a favorable line/situation. Ravens @ Texans (-6.5). Matt Schaub, the two-headed backfield of Foster and Tate, and a formidable defense (even without MLB Brian Cushing) at home are a solid play. 

Add to the aforementioned that the vaunted Ravens defense is in shambles without Ray Lewis, [CB] Ladarius Webb, and a banged-up Haloti Ngata, there are holes in every layer of that defense. The Texans have the talent to exploit all of them in front of their home crowd. 

And most importantly:

Look at the team's record Against the Spread (ATS). Good luck this week!

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Gotcha Bitches!


Down 24 points?
Largest Comeback in Monday Night Football History
Largest Comeback in Peyton Manning's History.
Another Festivus Miracle for Fitzy! .500 Bitches!